Before you start reading think back to the 1980’s and remember the movie Red Dawn. For me and many others that movie is a classic that embraced the essence of the Cold War. Now consider that later this year a new Red Dawn is being redone and released.
Today most Americans consider the United States to be “the sole remaining superpower” – absolutely unparalleled economically and militarily. But the truth is not anything close to that. As we detailed in a previous article, China has become a very dominant economic and military superpower. But there is another world superpower that the American people and the American media are not taking seriously. The Russian Bear has awakened, and yet most people in the U.S. think of Russia as a Cold War opponent that we “defeated” and which is now a shell of its former self. The recent Russian spy case is a perfect example of the tremendous lack of respect which the American public has for Russia these days.
It is almost as if the media is saying: “Oh look, isn’t it so cute that these little Russians are spying on us as if the Cold War was still going on?” But the truth is that it is a massive error to underestimate Russia.
Today it is a fact that Russia is stronger both economically and militarily than it ever has been before.
You doubt this?
Quick – name the number one oil producer in the world.
So is it smart for the U.S. to start becoming dependent on oil from Russia?
No, probably not.
But that is what is happening.
And the Russian economy is booming.
Russia experienced very high economic growth during the early part of the past decade, and analysts project Russia’s GDP will grow by more than 5% in 2010.
And most people think of Russian cities as crumbling, broken down cities where people stand in line for bread.
Not anymore.
According to Forbes, Moscow is now the third most expensive cities in the world in which to live. In fact, the cost of living is higher in Moscow than in any U.S. city.
Who would have thought that it costs more money to live in Moscow than in New York City?
But Russia has not just become an economic superpower once again.
Russia has also been using all of this new economic power to rapidly update and modernize both its conventional and strategic military forces….
*Over the last several years, Russia has been very busy updating and modernizing their strategic nuclear forces. U.S. officials still claim that America has a technological edge in this area, but everyone agrees that the gap is rapidly narrowing.
*Not only that, but a couple weeks ago Russian Prime Minister Vladimir Putin climbed into the cockpit of Russia’s new “fifth generation” fighter jet and announced that it was far superior to the F-22 Raptor.
And Russia is once again projecting their strength throughout the world. We all saw what they were able to achieve in Georgia. But they have been very busy elsewhere as well….
*After Russian President Medvedev’s historic visit to Damascus, Russia’s energy minister announced that his country is “studying the question” of building a nuclear power plant in Syria.
*The Russian government has agreed to a raft of new accords with the new, much more pro-Russian, government in Ukraine.
But still the United States is not taking Russia seriously.
According to Admiral James A. Winnefeld, the commander of the U.S. Northern Command, Russia is continuing to fly strategic nuclear bombers close to U.S. and Canadian airspace because the Russian military is seeking to maintain “the illusion of power”.
The illusion of power?
Is he kidding?
It is this dramatic underestimation of Russia power that could end up seriously burning us in the end.
The truth is this lack of understanding of the world situation goes all the way to the top.
Most Americans (and most people who will read this article) simply dismiss Russia as not being a significant threat, but that just shows how misinformed most people are.
And in many ways Russia is in a much better position right now than the United States is.
The Russian government actually ran large budget surpluses from 2001 to 2007 and has a very small national debt.
In fact, Russia owns about 100 billion dollars of that debt.
My how the tables have turned.
The frightening thing is that Russia and China are cooperating on a host of economic and military projects as they seek to “counterbalance” U.S. power in the world.
The truth is that the U.S. cannot just “do whatever it wants” in the world anymore.
Russia and China are both more powerful than they have ever been before and they aren’t going anywhere any time soon.
The world has changed. If the United States does not wake up and recognize this fact there are going to be some very serious consequences.
People are seriously underestimating how much liquidity in the global financial world is dependent on a solvent BP. BP extends credit – through trading and finance. They extend the amounts, quality and duration of credit a bank could only dream of. You should think about the financial muscle behind a company with 100+ years of proven oil and gas reserves. Think about that in comparison to a bank with few tangible assets. Then think about what happens if BP goes under. This is no bank. – Jim Sinclair at jsmineset.com
As horrific as the gulf environmental catastrophe is, an even more intractable and cataclysmic disaster may be looming.
The most likely scenario is that the US operations of BP will voluntarily attempt Chapter 11 bankruptcy proceedings. This is the worst possible scenario for claimants. The problem here is that this triggers a credit event which has daunting repercussions to the highly leveraged global financial markets. Like AIG before, the government does not want to tamper with the ramifications and fall out of a CDS event. Lehman was one too many.