Roger Knecht

God, Guns & Guts are what made America Free

Browsing Posts in Economy

I’d ask you to also consider the following passage from a day long gone by. I discovered it in a speech by my favorite central banker, Richard W. Fisher:

Every now and then the world is visited by one of these delusive seasons, when ‘the credit system’ … expands to full luxuriance: everybody trusts everybody; a bad debt is a thing unheard of; the broad way to certain and sudden wealth lies plain and open; and men are tempted to dash forward boldly from the facility of borrowing.

Now is the time for speculative and dreaming or designing men. They relate their dreams and projects to the ignorant and credulous, dazzle them with golden visions, and set them maddening after shadows. The example of one stimulates another; speculation rises on speculation; bubble rises on bubble; every one helps … to swell the windy superstructure….

It renders the [financier] a magician, and the Exchange a region of enchantment…. No ‘operation’ is thought worthy of attention that does not double or treble the investment. No business is worth following that does not promise an immediate fortune…. The subterranean garden of Aladdin is nothing to the realms of wealth that break upon [the] imagination.

“Could this delusion always last, …life …would indeed be a golden dream; but it is as short as it is brilliant.”

Now those last words weren’t written by Fisher or Roosevelt — but by Washington Irving. He was talking about the “Mississippi Bubble” fiasco of 1719. And even though it was penned almost 300 years ago, it reads like it could have been written at the height of the bubble a few years back. Chalk it up to the human condition.

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***Solar Roadways is currently a top contender for the $200M GE Ecomagination contest. Please vote for them at http://www.solarroadways.com/vote.shtml , and help turn this prototype into reality!***

The Solar Roadways project is working to pave roads with solar panels that you can drive on. Co-founder Scott Brusaw has made some major steps forward since our first visit back in 2007, so we visited him again earlier this year for an exclusive update on the project, including the first ever video recorded of the Solar Roadways prototype! For more information visit http://www.solarroadways.com . This Solar Roadway project will be featured in the upcoming feature film by YERT – Your Environmental Road Trip. To learn more about YERT, visit http://yert.com .

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Have you considered hiring a support staff to help better manage your workload? Before you do, it’s important that you first determine whether or not your practice can sustain an additional employee and second, make preparations to hire the right applicant.

Generally an accounting practice begins with just the accountant who can do the majority of the work alone.  However, as the practice begins to grow you may consider hiring support staff that will enable you to complete more billable hours while the employees perform the more menial tasks.  Whether you choose to hire one additional employee or several, how do you know when your business is ready?  And then, how do you prepare to hire the right applicant?  Here’s a worksheet that might help:

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The worst weather on record coupled with the practice of speculation in the commodities markets are set to send food prices skyrocketing, bringing misery and starvation to large swathes of the world’s population. Are we set to see food riots this winter?

positions of commodities. When they are scarce, and the more so when the market senses that a scarcity exists, the price goes up.

This is what is happening today. September corn is up by 3.6% a bushel, wheat by 34 cents. In July the price of wheat shot up by the highest quantity in the last 50 years: 42 per cent. This in turn will push up prices of pasta, bread and cereals in the near future.

Prices set to rise for 12 to 18 months

Analysts predict upward trends in wheat, corn, soybeans, bean oil and bean meal and the general feeling is a continued rising trend over the next 12 to 18 months.

Full Story

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“Collapse”
Theatrical trailer for director Chris Smith’s documentary COLLAPSE. Featuring Michael Ruppert. http://www.CollapseMovie.com

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The IRS is encouraging business taxpayers, associations, and other interested parties to submit tax issues for resolution involving a controversy, a dispute, or an unnecessary burden on business taxpayers to the Industry Issue Resolution (IIR) program.

The objective of the IIR program is to resolve business tax issues common to significant numbers of taxpayers through new and improved guidance. In past years, issues have been submitted by associations and others representing both small and large business taxpayers, resulting in tax guidance that helps thousands of taxpayers.

Requests for guidance on tax issues under the IIR program can be submitted by e-mail at any time to IIR@irs.gov. Submissions received are reviewed semi-annually with selections next being made from issues submitted by September 30, 2010.

Additional information regarding submission procedures is available on the IRS website.

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It’s important to not only consider how new hires will fit into your business organization, but how they contribute to your long-term objectives.

staffing-strategiesBefore you begin hiring a support staff, it’s important to ensure that you’ve developed a staffing strategy that will help your business work most efficiently.  While many businesses don’t have an official document detailing their staffing strategy, you may want to at least ponder various components of such a plan that would enable you to make staffing decisions that better align with your business objectives.

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FBN’s Neil Cavuto breaks down why the U.S. is headed for a downgrade on its debt.

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The Doubledip family just parked their conversion van in America’s front yard.

They’re unpacking a full trunk in the garage, and their snot-nosed kids are running around the yard, whacking flowers with sticks and throwing rocks at the dogs.

They’re here to stay awhile.

Recessions happen. In fact they’re inevitable after debt-fueled spending binges like the one we’ve been on.

But this one will occur just as America’s demographic time bomb is set to explode. Baby boomers — which make up an outsized proportion of the population — will tax Social Security and Medicare to the breaking point.

You’re probably sick of hearing it all… “Baby boomers, Medicare, Social Security, doom and gloom, blah blah blah.”

We’ve been hearing about this looming disaster for so long, it almost seemed as if it would never actually materialize.

But at some point in the near future, governments worldwide will be crippled by the cost of paying interest on their debt. I say that with no hyperbole or exaggeration at all.

In 2009, ten percent of the U.S. Federal Budget was spent paying interest on debt. The CBO says that number will reach 20%, or $917 billion, by 2020 — and that’s the gov’t’s estimate, so you know it’s based on rosy projections.

Here’s a chart from NPR, based on CBO estimates:

Combine soaring debt servicing costs with underfunded pensions and broke state governments, and you have a recipe for some lean times…

I’m not talking Mad Max scenarios or anything crazy like that; but living standards will go down for a while. It’s unavoidable.

Look, I don’t enjoy writing about this stuff. I’d much rather be writing about tech stocks or PEG ratios. But this is the reality.

Investing implications

The next 10 years will not present an easy investing environment. Just look at a long-term chart of Japanese stocks to get an idea of what we could be facing.

Investors will need to be very diligent when buying equities.

Precious metals and other select commodities should do well. The world’s population is still getting bigger, and emerging markets are still growing.

A friend of mine has a saying: “Make as much as you can, while you still can.”

I think it’s very applicable to today’s world.

Until next time,

Adam Sharp
Analyst, Wealth Daily

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